Wealth Outlook 2025 | Citi Wealth

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A resilient global economy and smarter investment strategies are shaping 2025

The global economy continues to defy recession forecasts. Citi Wealth projects 2.9% global GDP growth for both 2025 and 2026, led by the U.S. with 2.4%. This sustained expansion, driven by productivity, AI adoption, and strong consumer demand, challenges old economic patterns and sets the stage for new investment approaches. In this context, 2025 is a year to apply smart and adaptable investment strategies.

Concentrated portfolios, especially those heavily weighted in U.S. large-cap stocks, face valuation risks. Citi Wealth recommends expanding exposure toward small- and mid-cap U.S. equities, international markets like India and Brazil, and AI-driven sectors in East Asia. These diversified allocations offer both return potential and insulation from regional shocks, forming part of the core investment strategies for 2025.

Macroeconomic volatility, trade tensions, and policy shifts remain key risks. While cash may appear safe, the report cautions that it is likely to underperform. Instead, investors are encouraged to stay fully invested and globally diversified. A strong portfolio foundation includes developed and emerging equities, credit-based fixed income, and alternatives such as hedge funds and private equity.

Fixed income regains appeal as the Federal Reserve considers gradual rate cuts. Citi favors investment-grade corporate bonds, preferred securities, and structured credit. Floating-rate bank loans and TIPS are also highlighted for their resilience. These instruments can provide consistent returns and protect against inflation, fitting well into long-term investment strategies for 2025.

Private markets stand out with higher 10-year return forecasts. Citi highlights opportunities in private equity, real estate, and private credit, especially for qualified investors. Sectors tied to AI, healthcare innovation, and industrial assets are viewed favorably. While less liquid, these assets help diversify return sources and enhance performance across different cycles.

As we enter a “rule-breaking” expansion phase, Citi Wealth advises discipline, diversification, and alignment with strategic plans. 2025 is not a time to retreat to cash, but a moment to refine allocations and pursue durable value creation. With thoughtful positioning, investors can turn complexity into long-term opportunity.

Check out the full report here: https://bit.ly/4602MxQ